QUANTERRAOS
Σ Strategic Move #9 • Anti-Dispute AI • Sentinel Resolution Guardian

The Resolution Rulebook Engine

Prediction market resolution clauses audited before you commit capital. Analyzes ambiguous wording, UMA oracle voting dispute traps on Polymarket, and 60-second TWAP pinning dynamics on Kalshi.

Active Operational Profile: Retail Quantitative Cockpit
Retail Quant Cockpit Institutional TrustOS Mode
CROSS_VENUE • MACRO
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Target Cut at Next FOMC Meeting
Ambiguity Score: 8/100 • LOW
POLYMARKET • MACRO
US Consumer Price Index (CPI) Headline MoM >= 0.3%
Ambiguity Score: 28/100 • MODERATE
KALSHI • CRYPTO
Kalshi Bitcoin 15-Minute Strike Resolution ($91,250)
Ambiguity Score: 12/100 • LOW
POLYMARKET • GEOPOLITICS
Bilateral Ceasefire Enacted Between Parties by End of 2026
Ambiguity Score: 78/100 • CRITICAL
VENUE: KALSHI • MECHANISM: CME_CF_BRTI_60S_TWAP

Kalshi Bitcoin 15-Minute Strike Resolution ($91,250)

Primary Source Authority & Reliability

Authority: CME CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI)
Type: REGULATED_BENCHMARK

× Identified Clause Loopholes & Dispute Triggers (1)

"Settles against the volume-weighted average of CME CF BRTI index ticks between minute 14:00 and 15:00..."
Hazard: DEFINITION_HAZARD
Spot exchange prices (Coinbase / Binance) at 14:59 do NOT determine settlement. A rapid spot price spike in the final 5 seconds only exerts a 5/60th (8.3%) weight on final settlement index.
• Precedent: Audited across 1,316 settled windows: spot-to-TWAP displacement exceeded $45 in 14.2% of expiries.

Sentinel Pre-Trade Risk Checklist

  • ✓ Do NOT rely on a single spot exchange (Coinbase/Binance) during the final 60 seconds.
  • ✓ Account for 60-second time-weighted averaging which dampens last-second momentum.
  • ✓ Kalshi taker fee drag on 50¢ contracts is $0.0175 per contract ($17.50 / 1,000 ct).
Clause Ambiguity Score
12
LOW DISPUTE RISK
UMA Dispute Prob: 0%
Time Precision: EXACT_SECOND
Oracle Model: CME
CFTC-cleared deterministic TWAP. Zero oracle governance dispute risk, but high microstructure pinning risk when spot is within $50 of strike at minute 14.
Custom Contract Tester

Paste any Polymarket or Kalshi resolution clause into the Sentinel NLP audit pipeline via API or MCP.

Inspect Raw JSON Audit Seal →
✦ QUANT PIPELINE • STEP 2 OF 4: AUDIT • NEXT RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
Sentinel Ambiguity & Oracle Verification
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Step 3: Simulate Order Fills →
Test with queue depth, latency & CFTC fees
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← Return to Live Scanner
Compare cross-venue pricing discrepancies
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Historical Datasets →
Export 19,740 settled resolution candles

Rule B1 & Rule B4 Standard: The Resolution Rulebook Engine provides linguistic and structural analysis of public prediction market contracts. It does not provide legal opinions, trading advice, or guarantees of oracle determinations.

Rule B5 Safety Lock: Zero live capital deployed ($0.00 exposure under permanent standby circuit breaker lock).

Third-Party Marks Attribution (Rule B10): Polymarket is a trademark of Blockratize, Inc. UMA is a protocol of Risk Labs. Kalshi is a trademark of Kalshi Inc. CME CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) is a calculation of CF Benchmarks Ltd and CME Group Inc. QuanterraOS is an independent measurement system with no exchange affiliation.