Σ Strategic Move #9 • Anti-Dispute AI • Sentinel Resolution Guardian

The Resolution Rulebook Engine

Prediction market resolution clauses audited before you commit capital. Analyzes ambiguous wording, UMA oracle voting dispute traps on Polymarket, and 60-second TWAP pinning dynamics on Kalshi.

Active Operational Profile: Retail Quantitative Cockpit

Retail Quant Cockpit Institutional TrustOS Mode

CROSS_VENUE • MACRO

Federal Reserve Interest Rate Target Cut at Next FOMC Meeting

Ambiguity Score: 8/100 • LOW

POLYMARKET • MACRO

US Consumer Price Index (CPI) Headline MoM >= 0.3%

Ambiguity Score: 28/100 • MODERATE

KALSHI • CRYPTO

Kalshi Bitcoin 15-Minute Strike Resolution ($91,250)

Ambiguity Score: 12/100 • LOW

POLYMARKET • GEOPOLITICS

Bilateral Ceasefire Enacted Between Parties by End of 2026

Ambiguity Score: 78/100 • CRITICAL

VENUE: CROSS_VENUE • MECHANISM: CFTC_DESIGNATED_CLEARING

Federal Reserve Interest Rate Target Cut at Next FOMC Meeting

Primary Source Authority & Reliability

Authority: Federal Reserve Board (FOMC Policy Statement)

Type: GOVERNMENT_AGENCY

Canonical Link: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm →

× Identified Clause Loopholes & Dispute Triggers (1)

"Resolves to YES if target range upper limit decreases..."

Hazard: SUBMITTER_DISCRETION

Unscheduled inter-meeting emergency emergency cuts require manual clearinghouse determination if timing precedes scheduled 2:00 PM ET statement.

Sentinel Pre-Trade Risk Checklist

✓ Confirm contract specifies 'upper limit of target range' vs effective federal funds rate (EFFR).
✓ Check whether emergency inter-meeting cuts are eligible for settlement.
✓ Kalshi resolves immediately post-statement; Polymarket requires standard UMA 2-hour liveness window.

Clause Ambiguity Score

LOW DISPUTE RISK

UMA Dispute Prob: 0.15%

Time Precision: EXACT_SECOND

Oracle Model: CFTC

Highly deterministic. Official Federal Reserve press release provides unambiguous target range boundaries.

Custom Contract Tester

Paste any Polymarket or Kalshi resolution clause into the Sentinel NLP audit pipeline via API or MCP.

Inspect Raw JSON Audit Seal →

✦ QUANT PIPELINE • STEP 2 OF 4: AUDIT • NEXT RECOMMENDED ACTIONS

Sentinel Ambiguity & Oracle Verification

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Step 3: Simulate Order Fills →

Test with queue depth, latency & CFTC fees

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← Return to Live Scanner

Compare cross-venue pricing discrepancies

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Historical Datasets →

Export 19,740 settled resolution candles

Rule B1 & Rule B4 Standard: The Resolution Rulebook Engine provides linguistic and structural analysis of public prediction market contracts. It does not provide legal opinions, trading advice, or guarantees of oracle determinations.

Rule B5 Safety Lock: Zero live capital deployed ($0.00 exposure under permanent standby circuit breaker lock).

Third-Party Marks Attribution (Rule B10): Polymarket is a trademark of Blockratize, Inc. UMA is a protocol of Risk Labs. Kalshi is a trademark of Kalshi Inc. CME CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) is a calculation of CF Benchmarks Ltd and CME Group Inc. QuanterraOS is an independent measurement system with no exchange affiliation.