QUANTERRAOS
Σ Strategic Move #9 • Anti-Dispute AI • Sentinel Resolution Guardian

The Resolution Rulebook Engine

Prediction market resolution clauses audited before you commit capital. Analyzes ambiguous wording, UMA oracle voting dispute traps on Polymarket, and 60-second TWAP pinning dynamics on Kalshi.

Active Operational Profile: Retail Quantitative Cockpit
Retail Quant Cockpit Institutional TrustOS Mode
CROSS_VENUE • MACRO
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Target Cut at Next FOMC Meeting
Ambiguity Score: 8/100 • LOW
POLYMARKET • MACRO
US Consumer Price Index (CPI) Headline MoM >= 0.3%
Ambiguity Score: 28/100 • MODERATE
KALSHI • CRYPTO
Kalshi Bitcoin 15-Minute Strike Resolution ($91,250)
Ambiguity Score: 12/100 • LOW
POLYMARKET • GEOPOLITICS
Bilateral Ceasefire Enacted Between Parties by End of 2026
Ambiguity Score: 78/100 • CRITICAL
VENUE: POLYMARKET • MECHANISM: UMA_OPTIMISTIC_ORACLE

Bilateral Ceasefire Enacted Between Parties by End of 2026

Primary Source Authority & Reliability

Authority: Consensus of Major Global News Outlets (Reuters, AP, BBC)
Type: NEWS_CONSENSUS

× Identified Clause Loopholes & Dispute Triggers (2)

"Resolves to YES if a bilateral ceasefire is officially announced and holds for at least 72 hours..."
Hazard: DEFINITION_HAZARD
What constitutes a 'violation' during the 72-hour window? If minor border skirmishes occur while top leadership maintains the agreement, UMA tokenholders vote based on economic self-interest rather than objective truth.
• Precedent: Frequent contentious UMA oracle voting proposals with >$5M at stake resulting in overturned initial resolutions.
"In the event of conflicting news reports, UMA token voting is final..."
Hazard: SUBMITTER_DISCRETION
Tokenholder governance creates whale voting bias. Whales with large token positions can vote in favor of their market position during ambiguous 48-hour dispute windows.

Sentinel Pre-Trade Risk Checklist

  • ✓ Avoid holding into resolution if outcome hinges on qualitative interpretation of 'ceasefire'.
  • ✓ Factor in 48-hour capital lockup during UMA dispute escalation.
  • ✓ Check tokenholder voting distribution and whale voter concentration on Polymarket Discord/UMA forum.
Clause Ambiguity Score
78
CRITICAL DISPUTE RISK
UMA Dispute Prob: 32.5%
Time Precision: AMBIGUOUS_WINDOW
Oracle Model: UMA
Extreme dispute hazard. Qualitative news consensus combined with tokenholder voting creates high capital freeze risk and dispute reversal potential.
Custom Contract Tester

Paste any Polymarket or Kalshi resolution clause into the Sentinel NLP audit pipeline via API or MCP.

Inspect Raw JSON Audit Seal →
✦ QUANT PIPELINE • STEP 2 OF 4: AUDIT • NEXT RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
Sentinel Ambiguity & Oracle Verification
🧪
Step 3: Simulate Order Fills →
Test with queue depth, latency & CFTC fees
 📡
← Return to Live Scanner
Compare cross-venue pricing discrepancies
 💾
Historical Datasets →
Export 19,740 settled resolution candles

Rule B1 & Rule B4 Standard: The Resolution Rulebook Engine provides linguistic and structural analysis of public prediction market contracts. It does not provide legal opinions, trading advice, or guarantees of oracle determinations.

Rule B5 Safety Lock: Zero live capital deployed ($0.00 exposure under permanent standby circuit breaker lock).

Third-Party Marks Attribution (Rule B10): Polymarket is a trademark of Blockratize, Inc. UMA is a protocol of Risk Labs. Kalshi is a trademark of Kalshi Inc. CME CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) is a calculation of CF Benchmarks Ltd and CME Group Inc. QuanterraOS is an independent measurement system with no exchange affiliation.